Track Bias In Horse Racing Handicapping
Posted on May 12, 2008 - Filed Under Recreation and Sports
Track Biases can make or break a horse
1.) Watch the turns. Are the horses eating up ground on the outside, or is the rail the only place to be?
2.) Watch the break from the gate. Are particular post positions sluggish during the early going, even when early speed horses are present.
3.) In route races around two turns, watch the run to the clubhouse turn. Do horses exiting the outside posts settle into position comfortably, or are they laboring noticeably?
4.) Watch the top jockeys. Do the best boys continually direct their mounts to one part of the track? Handicappers are advised that most jockeys remain insensitive to biases themselves, but that every track’s colony contain one or two who know where to be after two or three turns of the course.
Don’t let this top elude you biases are present at every track some more than others take not of them and use them to your advantage.
If there was one big change in horseracing throughout the years Steve Davidowitz in Betting Thorougbreds stands out on his words on track bias. He talked about how important it is to note track bias. Some tracks the inside is like a paved highway and some the outside favors. It varies from track to track and bad weather can affect it as well. You can have a horse that you feel will dominate the race but if he is a speedster on a dead rail he will lose. Stay tuned to Handicappersdream.com as a feature will be added to keep you up to date on track bias so you can have this in your arsenal. Here are some fast tips so you can pick up on them yourselves:
A Favorites Day
First, favorite must meet two standards of consistency (a) have won at least one race in six. (b) have been in-the-money in at least half its races this year, with at least three finishes in-the money.
Second, The favorite must show enough recent exercise in workouts
Third, the favorite must meet a standard for recent good form. One of the last tow races must be a “good” race, defined as a finish in-the-money or within a length during the past six weeks.
Fourth the favorite must have no standout disadvantage in a long layoff, stepping up in class, or bled, injured or for some reason did not finish the race last time out. When is betting to place oppose to win a solid choice
1.) In fields of seven or more horses, betting to place is acceptable when the selection is 7 to 2 or greater and the favorite figures to be out of the money.
2.) In a field of six, betting to place is acceptable when the selection is 3 to 1 or greater and the favorite figures to be out of the money.
3.) In a field of five, betting to place is acceptable when the selection is 5 to 2 or greater and the favorite figures to be out of the money.
Here Below are just some Free Nuggets to use that have been very efective for centuries in Handicapping Horse Racing.
Sometimes there is a debate with handicappers on do you bet to win or place, if your horse wins then you get a nice payout with proper odds. I know many times you take it to win and the horse finishes second. Then you take it to place and your horse wins. Here are some general guidelines that assures you get the most out of your money:~ Here is a quick handicap for a day when favorites are winning. This was developed by a handicapper who in on summer was determined to win some money at the track and maybe not break the bank but to win some money and cash some tickets. Follow these simple guidelines on any track.
* The style of running plays a factor here I am a firm believer that the number of challengers determine how tired the front runner get, and not how fast they run. A horse gets tired from trying to pull away from his rivals who are right by his side.
* A sprinter who takes an early comfortable lead then is asked to run slower than he normally does and is not challenged by anyone else for a long time can go all the way.
* The best time to play a sprinter in a route race is when you found one who has shown early speed in sprints.
*Also take notice when a horse has run evenly or who has been able to stay close, then closes ground in sprints. When these horses are entered in a longer race where there is no front speed.
* A closer in a route seldom has much chance when placed in a sprint.
* When all the races in a horses past performance are routes, one must assume that the fast early pace of a sprint will hurt the router too much to recover.
* Closers in routes make the worse possible bets in sprints and should be eliminated in almost all cases.
Happy Handicapping,
~For Horse Racing Enthusiast throughout the world. Find exciting FREE horse racing tips and the best horse racing site on the planet at http://www.handicappersdream.com
Handicapper Joe
Tags: Horse racing Handicapping, horse racing stategy, track bias in Horse racing
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